Within the space weather community, prototype services frequently operate as capability demonstrators and a full verification of their ability to reproduce/predict elements of the space environment under a range of space weather conditions, from the moderate to the extreme, has yet to be completed. In addition, as new modeling capabilities emerge, information on the operational use case for a given model can provide valuable information to the developer, facilitating transition from the research domain into operations at a later stage.
Underpinning model accuracy is being addressed by numerous international activities, but as yet a community-wide consensus on how to address accuracy and suitability for transition into operations for the wide range of models and domains involved has not been reached.
This event builds on the successful related event held during the 42nd COSPAR Scientific Assembly. It encourages dialogue between modellers, application developers and service providers in order to review current model and service validation activities, to build upon successes, to identify challenges, and to develop a strategy, supported by actions, for continuous assessment of space weather predictive capabilities as recommended in the COSPAR Space Weather Roadmap. Presentations from International Space Weather Action Teams focusing on capability assessments are encouraged as are all presentations addressing both coordinated validation frameworks and individual case studies.
This event will also include a discussion panel focussing on techniques to characterise progress towards operational readiness and on enabling feedback from operations to the research domain.
MSO: Alexi Glover, ESA/ESOC, Germany, firstname.lastname@example.org
DO: Masha Kuznetsova, NASA/GSFC, email@example.com
SOC: Vladimir Kalegaev (MSU, Russia), Mike Terkildsen (BOM, Australia), Piers Jiggens (ESA, Netherlands), Suzy Bingham (Met Office, UK), Stefaan Poedts (K U Leuven, Belgium), Joe Minow (NASA, USA), Clezio De Nardin (INPE, Brazil), Terry Onsager (NOAA, USA)