Team title: SEP Validation
Team ID: H3-01
Team Leads:
Katie Whitman (NASA JSC SRAG, Wyle, USA), kathryn.whitman@nasa.gov
Phil Quinn (NASA JSC SRAG, Wyle, USA), philip.r.quinn@nasa.gov
Hazel Bain (NOAA SWPC, CIRES, USA), hazel.bain@noaa.gov
M. Leila Mays (NASA GSFC CCMC, USA), m.leila.mays@nasa.gov
Scoreboard Leads:
M. Leila Mays (NASA GSFC CCMC, USA), m.leila.mays@nasa.gov
Mark Dierckxsens (BIRA-IASB, Belgium), Mark.Dierckxsens@aeronomie.be
Leadership Alumni:
Mike Marsh (UK Met Office, UK), mike.marsh@metoffice.gov.uk
Ian Richardson (NASA GSFC, UMD, USA), ian.g.richardson@nasa.gov
Keywords (impact): Human exploration
Keywords (activity type): Forecasting, Assessment,
Introduction:
The ISWAT SEP Validation team is a continuation of the existing SEP Working Team that was developed under the ICCMC-LWS forum.
Team questions: Where do we stand with SEP prediction? Using case studies of selected events, can we assess where we stand with SEP prediction? How well can the success of SEP models be compared? How do we move beyond using case studies for model/data comparisons?
Campaigns: SHINE 2018, 2019, ESWW 2018, ESWW 2022, SEPVAL 2023. (See team website for presentations and reports).
The SEP Scoreboard also falls under this team's projects. This scoreboard collects and displays real-time SEP forecasts (probability and intensity time series).
Objectives:
Organize community campaigns to evaluate how well different models/techniques can predict historical SEP events throughout the heliosphere
Establish metrics agreed upon by the community
Provide a benchmark against which future models can be assessed against
SEP Scoreboard: Add more models to the scoreboard database/display, gather feedback on the displays, serve forecasts. Begin validation of scoreboard forecasts and investigate automated real-time validation.
Action topics:
Clusters with overlapping topics: S2
Link to team external website:
https://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswat/H3-01/
https://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/community-workshops/ccmc-sepval-2023/
https://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/challenges/sep/
https://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/scoreboards/sep/ (Scoreboard)